THE GARDEN
Updated 01 Oct 2026
rules for counting outcomes before assigning probabilities
sequential choices: multiply the number of available choices at each stage
ordered selection without replacement: P(n,r)=n!/(n−r)!P(n,r)=n!/(n-r)!
unordered selection without replacement: (nr)=n!/[r!(n−r)!]\binom nr=n!/[r!(n-r)!].
assigning three distinct offices to different people from a group of 2525 gives 25⋅24⋅23=1380025\cdot24\cdot23=13800 assignments.
Under uniform selection, one specified assignment has probability 1/138001/13800.
With 1515 men and 1010 women, the probability of men in the first two offices and a woman in the third is (15/25)(14/24)(10/23)=7/46(15/25)(14/24)(10/23)=7/46.
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